PMS 2.0 044 – Tim Tebow, Schefter, & Superb Owl Chatter

Today’s show is a great one. First, former Heisman Trophy winner, 1st round draft pick of the Denver Broncos, the greatest college football player of all-time and current outfielder in the New York Mets organization, Tim Tebow, joins the show from Top Golf in Atlanta for an incredible conversation. They discuss what it was like being Tim Tebow in college, his transition to the NFL and the most difficult part, talks a little bit about his perspective about life, chats more about his MLB aspirations and what his walkup song will be, and how he handles all the scrutiny every time he does something (4:51-27:37). Also joining the show is the king of scoops himself, one of the best in the game at his job, the creator of the “Adam Bomb,” Adam Schefter. They discuss what Super Bowl week is like for him, the guys dig for a couple updates on some scoops, what he thinks is going to happen with the Antonio Brown situation, and the stresses of having troll Twitter accounts make fake news with his name and having to deal with the repercussions (55:54-1:13:46). The guys also recap the entire Super Bowl week from Top Golf and who some of their favorite guests were and which people surprised them. They also recap the weight loss competition, and dive into their thoughts on the Super Bowl, the commercials, and Boston Connor chats about his experience seeing the Patriots win a Super Bowl in person. It’s a great one. Come and laugh with us, cheers.

Big Stage Gets The Best of McVay And Goff

https://twitter.com/BleacherReport/status/1092274409652383745

I guess none of us should be surprised. Patriots win another Super Bowl, it wasn’t pretty but they got the job done. As much as i was impressed by the Patriots defence because the Dolphins are getting their D coordinator in as their coach. I’m left feeling like these Rams could of done a lot more. 

https://twitter.com/CBSSportsNet/status/1092278468312686593

As great as the Patriots defensive setup was and as great as they played, the Rams let them, they let them bully them from the start. Running the ball on every first down in the first half, what is that??? Where was the free flowing Rams offence we’ve all watched this year. The team that went for it on fourth downs, the team that did fake punts, the team that made half the league hire any coach close to McVay.

https://twitter.com/RamsNFL/status/1092292262426488837

Most of the game it felt like they were playing scared, scared of making the big mistake that would cost them the game. Instead the thing that cost them the game was going away from who they were all season and that was an aggressive offensive juggernaut that was changing the way the game was played. I am bitter, I am salty, I don’t think Edelman should of gotten MVP. I don’t think he should’ve even been able to play in the game to be honest, but I’ll save that rant for another day.

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The Eagles stuck to their guns last year in the Super Bowl and thats how they beat the Pats, staying true to who they were and what got them to the big dance. I know McVay and Goff will probably get back to this point, figure it out and win it. You also never know if you get to this stage again, Marino made it his first year and never got back in an amazing career. I hope they don’t regret not leaving their whole playbook out there and throwing everything they possibly had at the Patriots. Congratulations to Patriots fans on another ring and here’s to hopefully a better game next year. Happy first Monday without football y’all, its gonna be a long offseason.

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My 20 Best Super Bowl Bets

You work all season long building your betting bankroll so on Super Bowl Sunday you can go ahead and bet on 20 different things. Super Bowl betting is the most beautiful thing in the world. You can bet on pretty much anything. With that being said I have compiled 20 bets that I have put my own money on for Sunday and decided to share them with you. Will they all win? Nope, actually some are in contradiction of one another but at the end of the day we just want to be up money. These are in no particular order. 

  1. Under 9.5 (-130) Total Players with a Rush Attempt. 

Ok lets assume Michel, White, Burkhead, Gurley, & CJ Anderson all get carries. That’s a guaranteed 5. Then Brady and Goff probably, That’s 7. That leaves us wiggle room for say a Robert Woods end around & a Pat Devlin Dive (Handsome Fella). 

2. Over 11.5 Third Down Conversions (-115)

If we go by team averages this one is going to be tight. Each team is in the top 10 in 3rd down conversion percentage at around 44%. They average 13 and 12 3rd down attempts a game. 44% of 25 is 11. I give the offenses the advantage in this game so I am rolling with the over. 

3. No defensive or Special Teams TD’s (-190) 

We have 2 teams that are very good at taking care of the ball. Each team averaged .7 Int’s thrown per game and .4 fumbles per game (none in playoffs). If we do have 2 turnovers the chances of one being returned in very slim. Both teams are also in the top 5 in giving up return TD’s this season. Patriots have given up 0 while the Rams only 1. 

4. Will the game be decided by exactly 3 points. Yes (+350)

I am one who strongly believes that Vegas is very good at what they do. If Vegas has the line at 2.5 then I’ll take +350 odds on a 3 point finish happening. 

5. Will there be 3 unanswered scores in a game. No (+220)

I personally think it will be a good game. Coaching, offense, defense, special teams for both teams are good. In a close game it is rare that one team scores 3 times in a row and I am banking on that here. Keep it close like last time. 

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6. Will there be a score in the first 4 minutes of the 2nd Qtr. Yes (-115)

Just seems like a game where they possibly feel each other out for the first 11 minutes an then someone going into the red-zone as the 1st Quarter comes to an end. No real science behind this one. All gut. 

7. Lost fumbles by both teams. 0 (+150)

Both teams are top 10 in the league in not losing Fumbles. My one worry would be that Rams defensive line causing one but Brady is so smart when it comes to job security. 

8. Player to score first TD – Brady +5000

9. Player to score first TD – Goff +5000

I just couldn’t pass up +5000. If you get those odds you have to take them no matter what. Can see Brady sneaking it in now. 

10. Will game go to OT – Yes (+850)

Pat is doing something with Buffalo Wild Wings and if the game goes to OT everyone gets free wings and if Pat is involved it will probably happen. 

https://twitter.com/BWWings/status/1088100963339169794

11. Will any of the scoring drives take less time than the National Anthem – Yes (+100)

This might be my lock of the night. O/U on national anthem is 1:43. So many opportunities for drives under 1:43 at end of half, end of game, off a turnover. Love this bet. 

12. Under 5.5 Catches for Brandin Cooks. (-105)

13. Under 77.5 yards for Brandin Cooks (-115)

If there is one thing Belichick always does it is take away your best WR. Tyreek Hill at 1 catch for 43 yards against the Patriots last week. He knows Cooks after he played for the Patriots and there is no way he lets Cooks go off. 

14. Under 3.5 catches for Phillip Dorsett (-125)

Im not buying the Phil Dorsett hype. I mean look at these stats below and now that he has scored in 3 straight games someone may actually pay attention to him. He’s not going over on 3.5 catches. 

15. Rams +3 (-120)

I’m doing it. Im going with the Rams. I know this will probably come back on me but there is something that I really like about this team. I think the can get pressure with 4 and that’s always been the recipe to beat the Patriots. 

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16. 13 Point Teaser (-125) – Stick with me on this one. 

All we need on this one is for the game to fall in between 45 and 71 points and for the score to fall somewhere in between Patriots +10 and Rams +16. When you think about it, seems quite plausible. Only thing that worries me is that 45 number. I can see 24-21 game happening. 

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17. National Anthem Over 1:43 (-160)

In 1991 Gladys sang the National Anthem and when I listen to it I always get it lasting around 1:34 which would be 9 seconds under on the bet and I really wanted to go there. This is the Super Bowl though. Gladys is a performer. Gladys is a little older. Gladys make take a little more time in between notes to make sure she sounds good. Give me Gladys and the over. 

18. Length of time of Brave – Under 4.5 Seconds (-110)

In 91 she sang the “Brave” part for 4 seconds. That was almost 30 years ago. Don’t think Gladys has it in her to carry the brave out for more than 4.5. 

19. Coin Toss Tails (-102)

This one is simple. Vegas needs Tails to make money. I’ll root with Vegas and the whole never fails thing. 

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20. Will Gene Steratore get 1st replay call correct? Yes (-170)

Gene is one of the best to ever do it. I do miss the days of Mike Carey getting every single call wrong in the booth but that’s not how Gene operates. Great Italian guy from the Burgh doesn’t mess up. 

21. Patriots -6.5 Alternate Line +150

Just a little if everything falls apart bet. Do I want the Patriots to win by a touchdown? No, but if they do you bet your ass I’ll be there to collect on it. 

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If you do not like any of these bets there are little 400 different prop bets out there right now. You don’t even have to like football to enjoy gambling on the Super Bowl. Have some fun with it. Good Luck to everyone. 

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10 More Props To Think About

Tony Digs kicked off the prop talk with a blog on Monday and I’m here to throw a few more in your face as we inch closer to Sunday. Before you quit out of the browser cause you think all my props are about Brady, know I got a few more up my sleeve than just a Tom touchdown. 

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Brady TD in the Third Quarter – Yes +115 

Lets get this out of the way. These Super Bowls can sometimes start a little awkwardly for the Patriots. With that being said, if they win the toss they’ll differ but if the Rams get the ball in the second half and score, Brady will answer right away. Might be the biggest lock of a prop I have on the board.

Sony Michel 1st Half TD +175

Michel to score the first touchdown is another prop I thought about but I like this one of him scoring in the first half. If we get the ball down inside the 5, we’ll give the ball to Sony at least twice and with the way our offensive line is pushing people around, I like the chance we score. 

James White First half TD +275

Pairing the Michel prop with this prop is the smart move cause there is a chance they both score. If the ball is outside the 5 and we’re in the red zone, James White is in the game with the run pass threat. As everyone knows, Brady throws it to the back A LOT in the Super Bowl. 

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Philip Dorsett Touchdown +215

Philip Dorsett has had a touchdown in both of our playoff games this year. He’ll likely have a closer eye on him but in the red zone all eyes are on Gronk and Edelman.

Brandin Cooks under 5.5 catches -140

Tony also had this prop on his list so if you haven’t bet it yet, take it now. The Patriots will not let Cooks beat them. Gilmore is the best corner in the NFL this year and there’s no way he gets 6 catches. 

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Contrary to popular belief, this sucked

Gerald Everett over 23.5 yards -115

Gerald Everett is a guy that will have to make plays if the Rams have any chance. I think he can get 23 yards in a catch so I like this over. Everett is the Rams Dorsett so a TD might be something to think about. 

Largest Lead in The Game Under 14.5 points  +100

If a team is leading by 14, I think both the Patriots and the Rams will do whatever it takes to score a touchdown. Neither coach is going to want to get down big and I expect this to be close to the end. 

Longest Field Goal Over 47.5 yards -105

With Gostowski and Zuerlein being the two kickers, both are proven studs from deep. I think if there’s a field goal in the 47-55 range, it will be taken by either kicker, especially with the game being indoors. 

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Roughing the Passer Penalty +155 

At some point I think one of these is called. I might be completely wrong, especially after the controversy in the AFC game, but I’m not not going to take this bet with Suh on the field. 

Overtime +675

This game has the makings for an overtime thriller. That, and we all get free wings thanks to BWW’s and Pat for a hell of a deal. Pats win in overtime is the ideal situation. Pats win in regulation, also not a terrible situation. 

https://twitter.com/BWWings/status/1089980422526783488

The Super Bowl is the Super Bowl of gambling (Trademark) so good luck picking the right props. Tony’s got mostly winners, I got mostly losers so we’ll meet in the middle. 

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PMS 2.0 042 – Chuck Pagano Makes Incredible Debut

On today’s show, Pat welcomes one of his white whales. Former Head Coach of the Indianapolis Colts and current Defensive Coordinator of the Chicago Bears, Chuck Pagano, finally joins the show. He and Pat chat about the adjustments he had to make during his time away from football, the season he was diagnosed with cancer and he dives deep into his process to recovery. They also reminisce on a couple of their seasons together, and Chuck looks ahead to all the weapons he’ll have on the Bears defense (2:52-35:37). Later, Pat and the guys discuss plans for what to expect once they get to Atlanta, and Pat teases some guests that may be stopping by. Pat also recaps his weekend in Phoenix for the WWE NXT Takeover preshow, playing golf with AQ Shipley and Foxy, and how he had perhaps the best steak on the west coast. The guys also recap the Pro Bowl and offer a few enhancements, discuss the final few moments left in the weight loss competition, and Pat details his near death experience driving to work. Today’s a good one. Come and laugh with us, cheers.

12 Days Till Super Bowl What Else To Do But Gamble

The stage is set its the Los Angeles Rams and the New England Patriots. I came away up a bit last weekend but it would of been a lot more if the Chiefs pulled it out against the Pats.

https://twitter.com/robcarpenter81/status/1087218027693772802
https://twitter.com/coachmox/status/1087435139599216641

The more i watch this play the more i wonder about what should or shouldn’t of been called but i should know better than to beat against the Patriots at this point. Mybookie has all sorts of things to gamble on for the Super Bowl so for the next twelve days well have something to do until the big game. Ill give you some of the bets that I’m looking at and ill finish this off with my new favourite I’ve found on betmybookie the 13 point teaser thanks to Nick Maraldo. 

https://twitter.com/betmybookie/status/1087574541059018752
https://twitter.com/betmybookie/status/1087545187398795264

Im gonna do the same as i did and just sprinkle a little bit everywhere for some quality entertainment. I’m going with over 3.5 on total field goals after watching Legatron for the Rams hit bombs on Sunday he could hit the over by himself. Shortest field goal under 26.5 i feel like if either of these teams is this deep in the red zone their going for it on fourth down. Total punts i am absolutely crushing the under 7.5 i can’t see their being more than this. At +275 on a successful 2 point conversion this is definitely worth a look also. 

Now we come to my golden nugget the 13 point teaser at -130. This is for anybody like me who wants some juice in the game but doesn’t wanna bet against the Patriots anymore. You get the Rams at +15.5 and then you get the Pats at +10.5. To finish off the parlay you have the over 45 and the under 71. This has been a nice bet for me all playoffs except for when the Colts didn’t hit the +18 against the Chiefs DAMNIT. We have twelve days until we enjoy the last game of the season and were onto mock draft season. Keep your eyes on mybookie and hope like me that the Rams +2.5 continues to rise. Lets have a Tuesday y’all cheers.

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Rams Special Teams Guide Them To The Big Dance

Rams were off to a slow start yesterday, down 13-0 early and their offence couldn’t get the ball moving at all. They hadn’t had a first down on the day until John Hekker dialed up a fake punt to get the momentum going in their favour.

https://twitter.com/NFLFanBlitz/status/1087091520673591296
https://twitter.com/BillSimmons/status/1087091101813465089

This completely changed the game if the Rams didn’t get the execution right it would of been Saints ball on their thirty up 13-0 already. Great throw and a great move by Sam Shields to get the first down. 

https://twitter.com/JHekker/status/1087141721006374912
https://twitter.com/TheSportsNotes/status/1087125430467932161

Now onto Greg The Leg Legatron whatever you wanna call him he had a damn day yesterday. Everyones talking about his 57 yard bomb to win it but he also hit this clutch 48 yarder to tie the game to send it to overtime. 

https://twitter.com/LeadingNFL/status/1087130471421497346

What an absolute bomb to win the game this thing looked like it could of been good from seventy. In a football era that is all about offence i think these playoffs have been a good reminder that special teams are still a huge part of this game. This was just your friendly reminder that kickers matter too. What a great day ForTheBrand and hopefully these Rams can pull off one more win so we all don’t have to take another Patriots win. Hope y’all enjoyed both amazing games yesterday lets have a week!!

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PMS 2.0 039 – Football Talk With A Hawk… Also.. Potential World Tour

On today’s show, Pat welcomes former Packer great, Super Bowl Champion, partner in the booth, and friend of the show, AJ Hawk, for the debut of a new segment. They cover Pat’s NFL broadcasting debut and what AJ heard from some of his friends still playing on the Packers. They also discuss the two playoff matchups this weekend, and chat about what AJ has been doing recently, what he wants his endgame to be professionally, and why he isn’t a fan of debate shows on TV (2:07-37:26). Later, Pat and the guys discuss some things that are going on in the world including a potential new comedy tour, a few things that they didn’t know about Zito, they chat about dogs and some of the other creatures that are roaming around the McAfee estate, and do a quick check-in on the weight loss challenge. Plus Pat tells a few more stories about Chuck Pagano when they first met each other. It’s a good one, come and laugh with us. Cheers.

NFL Picks For The Weekend

Four games this weekend and every one is going to be a barn burner this weekend. Dogs all over the place with a few sneaky second half bets to blow the doors off this Divisional Weekend.

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Chargers @ Patriots is set at 5 right now. I think this is a 3 point game so even a Patriots -5 won’t be a safe call. One of the props I may take for this game is Chargers to lead at half and Patriots to win the game. The Patriots love doing the old ‘lose first half then come back in the second half’ move in the playoffs. As good as the Chargers are, I think Philly makes one too  many mistakes in the cold and the Patriots squeeze out a last second field goal to win. This would give us home field for the AFC championship as well.

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That’s right, I hate the Colts but I’m all over them. Colts are +5.5 against the Chiefs in Kansas City and I like the Colts straight up in this one as well. The Chiefs don’t have a defense and the Colts are one of the hottest teams in the NFL. First half Colts I like a lot which I’ll put with the full game spread too. If they get a lead, it’s going to be hard for the Chiefs to get into a rhythm because of how great the Colts run game is. They can chew clock with the best of them and because of this, Mahomes might have a little trouble finding a rhythm early. Very excited for the Frank vs Andy battle and hoping for a good one in KC. 

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Dallas is +7 against the Rams and this team isn’t like the other Cowboys teams we’ve seen in the past. They have a defense this year, something Dallas has never seemed to have in my recent memory. I’m taking Rams team over in this one cause I don’t know if the Cowboys secondary is good enough to hang with the McVay brain who’s cooking up touchdown play after touchdown play. That’s why I’m going money line Cowboys with the Rams team over cause I don’t see this being a 7 point game. Cowboys squeeze a win or it’s a blowout. Let’s hope the Cowboys squeeze it out and we all make a decent chunk of change.

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And your NFC champion, the New Orleans Saints. Saints are -8 and I think they end up winning by a couple scores. Foles has been surgical since February 2018 so it’s tough to go against Sir Nick. However, nobody has won in the Superdome and I don’t think the Eagles are going to be the team to do it this year. After Sean Payton wheels out the trophy AND everyones Super Bowl bonus, it’s tough that team doesn’t at least run through the first one they see. Rams vs Saints would be a shootout for the ages but I think the Saints are representing the NFC this year. Naturally, the Patriots represent the AFC. 

Recap: Patriots ML, Cowboys ML, Rams team over, Saints -8, Colts +5.5. That’s what I got this weekend but more than anything let’s hope for some great games. Go Pats. 

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Saturday Picks For The NFL Divisional Round

HUGE Disclaimer. Yes we went 4-0 last week for the Wild Card picks and had a great weekend. Last weekend I was very confident though. This weekend I have very little confidence so don’t blame me if you follow these picks and they turn out terrible. Here are the picks for Saturday’s 2 games. I will have a blog coming out Saturday morning for Sunday’s 2 games. 

Colts +5 @ Chiefs; O/U 56.5

A game of bad trends and one has to be broken. On the bad side for the Colts, Since 1990 dome teams are 12-44 SU & 18-36-2 ATS in outdoor playoff games. On the other side the Chiefs are 0-9 against the spread at home since 1970 in the playoffs. What do those stats mean? Probably nothing for the Chiefs since they have never had a Patrick Mahomes at QB. The indoor teams going outside though I do believe in. Yes, the Colts have been absolutely on fire since they started 1-5 but have they really played anyone great?

https://twitter.com/RyFo18/status/1083437689863585797

I don’t want to take away from what the Colts have done because you have to play your schedule and they have dominated their schedule but they have not played an offense like the Chiefs. The one big worry for me is that the Chiefs are most likely without Eric Berry who makes a huge difference for that defense but I am still going to go with the Chiefs -5. Low confidence pick. Excited for Andy Reid clock management to fuck me. 

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Now we head out to LA

Cowboys +6.5 @ Rams; O/U 50

Lets first start with the positive trends for both teams. For the Cowboys underdogs are 37-21-1 ATS and dogs of seven or more points are 19-11-1 ATS since 2003 in the divisional round. For the Rams they are 5-1-1 ATS when they have eight or more days between games under Sean McVay. I am slightly worried about McVay vs the ole Clapper when it comes to coaching edge in this matchup. The thing that makes me lean towards the Cowboys is how they handled the Saints offense and how the Bears HANDLED the Rams. Dallas has very similar skill on defense to the Bears. Yes it was in Chilly soldier field but Goff has shown that he is not great under pressure and after being hit a few times. If Dallas can control the clock with Zeke and then put pressure on Goff I like Dallas in this game. I am going to buy a point and get Dallas at +7 as well as take the under 50. 

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You can Follow all my picks here on the Action Network. We have been on quite a nice little run. As always bet at Mybookie.Ag 

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