NFL Picks For The Weekend

Four games this weekend and every one is going to be a barn burner this weekend. Dogs all over the place with a few sneaky second half bets to blow the doors off this Divisional Weekend.

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Chargers @ Patriots is set at 5 right now. I think this is a 3 point game so even a Patriots -5 won’t be a safe call. One of the props I may take for this game is Chargers to lead at half and Patriots to win the game. The Patriots love doing the old ‘lose first half then come back in the second half’ move in the playoffs. As good as the Chargers are, I think Philly makes one too  many mistakes in the cold and the Patriots squeeze out a last second field goal to win. This would give us home field for the AFC championship as well.

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That’s right, I hate the Colts but I’m all over them. Colts are +5.5 against the Chiefs in Kansas City and I like the Colts straight up in this one as well. The Chiefs don’t have a defense and the Colts are one of the hottest teams in the NFL. First half Colts I like a lot which I’ll put with the full game spread too. If they get a lead, it’s going to be hard for the Chiefs to get into a rhythm because of how great the Colts run game is. They can chew clock with the best of them and because of this, Mahomes might have a little trouble finding a rhythm early. Very excited for the Frank vs Andy battle and hoping for a good one in KC. 

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Dallas is +7 against the Rams and this team isn’t like the other Cowboys teams we’ve seen in the past. They have a defense this year, something Dallas has never seemed to have in my recent memory. I’m taking Rams team over in this one cause I don’t know if the Cowboys secondary is good enough to hang with the McVay brain who’s cooking up touchdown play after touchdown play. That’s why I’m going money line Cowboys with the Rams team over cause I don’t see this being a 7 point game. Cowboys squeeze a win or it’s a blowout. Let’s hope the Cowboys squeeze it out and we all make a decent chunk of change.

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And your NFC champion, the New Orleans Saints. Saints are -8 and I think they end up winning by a couple scores. Foles has been surgical since February 2018 so it’s tough to go against Sir Nick. However, nobody has won in the Superdome and I don’t think the Eagles are going to be the team to do it this year. After Sean Payton wheels out the trophy AND everyones Super Bowl bonus, it’s tough that team doesn’t at least run through the first one they see. Rams vs Saints would be a shootout for the ages but I think the Saints are representing the NFC this year. Naturally, the Patriots represent the AFC. 

Recap: Patriots ML, Cowboys ML, Rams team over, Saints -8, Colts +5.5. That’s what I got this weekend but more than anything let’s hope for some great games. Go Pats. 

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Saturday Picks For The NFL Divisional Round

HUGE Disclaimer. Yes we went 4-0 last week for the Wild Card picks and had a great weekend. Last weekend I was very confident though. This weekend I have very little confidence so don’t blame me if you follow these picks and they turn out terrible. Here are the picks for Saturday’s 2 games. I will have a blog coming out Saturday morning for Sunday’s 2 games. 

Colts +5 @ Chiefs; O/U 56.5

A game of bad trends and one has to be broken. On the bad side for the Colts, Since 1990 dome teams are 12-44 SU & 18-36-2 ATS in outdoor playoff games. On the other side the Chiefs are 0-9 against the spread at home since 1970 in the playoffs. What do those stats mean? Probably nothing for the Chiefs since they have never had a Patrick Mahomes at QB. The indoor teams going outside though I do believe in. Yes, the Colts have been absolutely on fire since they started 1-5 but have they really played anyone great?

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I don’t want to take away from what the Colts have done because you have to play your schedule and they have dominated their schedule but they have not played an offense like the Chiefs. The one big worry for me is that the Chiefs are most likely without Eric Berry who makes a huge difference for that defense but I am still going to go with the Chiefs -5. Low confidence pick. Excited for Andy Reid clock management to fuck me. 

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Now we head out to LA

Cowboys +6.5 @ Rams; O/U 50

Lets first start with the positive trends for both teams. For the Cowboys underdogs are 37-21-1 ATS and dogs of seven or more points are 19-11-1 ATS since 2003 in the divisional round. For the Rams they are 5-1-1 ATS when they have eight or more days between games under Sean McVay. I am slightly worried about McVay vs the ole Clapper when it comes to coaching edge in this matchup. The thing that makes me lean towards the Cowboys is how they handled the Saints offense and how the Bears HANDLED the Rams. Dallas has very similar skill on defense to the Bears. Yes it was in Chilly soldier field but Goff has shown that he is not great under pressure and after being hit a few times. If Dallas can control the clock with Zeke and then put pressure on Goff I like Dallas in this game. I am going to buy a point and get Dallas at +7 as well as take the under 50. 

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You can Follow all my picks here on the Action Network. We have been on quite a nice little run. As always bet at Mybookie.Ag 

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Wild Card Weekend Saturday Picks

What an incredible weekend we have in front of us. This weekend is second only to the divisional round. Cherish every game that we have left. The playoffs are amazing but they are so bittersweet. We have only 11 NFL games left before we have to take on the worst month of the year without football (February). The best way to go into the offseason is with some cash in your pockets so lets see who’s going to do that for you tomorrow. 

  1. Texans vs Colts: Texans Opened 3 point favorite, Currently 1. O/U 48.5

Lets get into the trends first. These teams split during the regular season with both games being decided by 3 points so there is a great chance this is going to be a close game. That immediately makes me want to tease the Colts up to +7. Andrew Luck has been great against the AFC South going 20-8-3 ATS , The Colts are 3-1 ATS in its last four against the Texans. The one that they didn’t cover was the first game this season where they said they did not want to tie the game. The Texans have not been great against winning teams, they are 1-5 ATS against them but are also 8-2 ATS after a win this year and 6-2 as a home favorite. On the other hand the Colts are 2-3 ATS as away dogs. 2 of those losses however were during their 1-5 SU start. Now that we got all of that out of the way here are my thoughts.  

I like the Colts. Houston gave up 60 sacks for the first time since 2006. 60 sacks is absurd. Houstons o-line is a fucking dumpster fire. Sure they have incredible talent with Watson and Hopkins but they need time to make plays. On the other hand Luck has been sacked 9 times in their last 12 games. Fucking 9. The Texans have Watt & Clowney so this will be an awesome part of the game to watch but if they can’t get pressure the Texans secondary is awful. Luck has thrown for 464 and 400 yards against the Texans this season. I like the Colts and the Point or if you got it earlier in the week the points.

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Now to the late game.

2. Cowboys vs Seahawks: Dallas opened 3 point favorite, now 1.5; O/U 43.5

Is this game in primetime? Yup. Russell Wilson is 22-7-3 ATS when starting a game at 6 p.m. ET or later, covering by 7.8 points per game. That’s a nice little stat going into tomorrow’s game…here’s a better one. As a home favorite, Jason Garrett is 17-32-1 and 0-2 ATS in the playoffs. The man crumbles when he is supposed to win. Now that Marvin Lewis is gone Jason Garrett is the new mediocre coach that should’ve been let go a while ago. Pete Carroll > Garrett & Wilson > Prescott. The matchup that will be fun to watch is Bobby Wagner vs Zeke. I can see Zeke easily getting 30+ touches. That is the strength of Seattle Defense. If Dallas has a chance they have to take advantage of Seattle’s weaker secondary but I don’t know if Dak has the ability to do that. I am rolling with Seattle and the points in this one plus I kinda like the under. 

To Recap: LOVE THE DOGS. I have the Colts +1/+3 and the Seahawks +1.5/+3. I’m also going to do a 6 point teaser with both of them. Lastly, under 43.5 in the Dallas & Seattle Game. 

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Good Luck to all. If you want to follow all of our gambling picks plus have access to betting insights, articles, and professional picks sign up here with The Action Network. 

Follow Digs on Twitter & IG 

I Think I’m Gonna Puke: Today’s NFL Picks

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Disclaimer: My brain is absolute mush right now because the Ravens beat the Chargers and the Steelers now have a must win against the Saints. However, the picks must go on. Coming off a 4-0 week I am poised to go 0-4 so take that into account. 

  1. Dallas -7 vs Tampa Bay; O/U 48

I think it’s about time teams start giving up and it seems as if the Bucs will be one of those teams this week. Huge get well and clinch the division opportunity for the Cowboys here. They were embarrassed last week and they will take it out on a team that is less talented and less motivated. Dak and Zeke have a day against a poor Bucs defense. Take the Boys -7

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2. Dolphins -3.5 vs Jaguars; O/U 38

Jaguars are DONE. Cody Kessler threw for 57 yards in 4 quarters last week. I think he was actually trying too. No way that defense goes down to south beach and doesn’t go out and party. I mean they couldn’t help themselves in England. Its a bloodbath in Miami today. The Dolphins are 6-1 at home and actually think they still have a shot at the playoffs. Buy the point and Take the fins -3 

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3. Colts – 9.5 vs Giants; O/U 48

The Colts are on fire and they got a blueprint for how to shutout the Giants from the Titans last week. Without Beckham the only threat on that offense is Saquon and you can just stack the box against him. Eli is not beating you. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Giants got shutout again. Colts roll -9.5

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4. Vikings -6.5 vs Lions; O/U 43

The Lions have looked AWFUL the last few weeks against the Cardinals and the Bills. Vikings may actually be catching their stride. Stafford is all banged up and the Vikings sacked him 10 times the last time they played this year. This is going to be a long day for the Lions. Take the Vikes and lay the points. 

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Good luck to all today and pray for my life if Steelers lose. 

Follow @Digz

The Colts Have a Running Game Baby!

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The Colts beat the red hot Dallas Cowboys 23-0 without Andrew Luck throwing a touchdown!  What the hell is happening?!  Frank Reich’s creation has come to life!  That’s what’s happening!

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When the Colts first started to bounce back from their 1-5 start, we saw the defense playing well enough to keep the game close so Luck and the offense had plenty of opportunity to score.  Now the defense has progressed to the point that they’re playing well enough to win games on their own!  They just shut out the Cowboys!  This is NOT traditional Colts football.  Colts fans are used to a system where our offense has to score on nearly every possession to pull out a win.  Do we finally have a coach that subscribes to the theory that defense wins championships?  It appears so!

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Another big reason the Colts started turning this season around was that the offensive live was finally protecting Andrew Luck.  For the first time in his career Luck had time to let plays fully develop and wasn’t picking himself up off the carpet after every play.  Now, the offensive line is not only protecting their QB, they’re actually opening up running lanes.  Turns out, Marlon Mack is a very talented running back!  He just needed a little daylight, that’s all.  It’s much easier to run through a door when its open.

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Speaking of open doors, big shout out to Ryan Kelly and Mo Alie-Cox for a dominant performance on the line last night!  We knew Ryan Kelly was a beast.  We just needed him to be healthy enough to play.  But what a find in Mo Allie-Cox!  Mo Alie-Cox is not just another athletic tight end with good hands.  He’s a physical specimen!  He’s 6’6″ – 260!  And unlike most former hoop stars turned tight end, this dude can block!

Every NFL team in the playoff hunt should be praying to their God or their science or their cult leader, whoever they think controls their destiny…that the Indianapolis Colts don’t make the playoffs this year because they might be the most well-rounded and dangerous team in the league right now.  They are Frank Reich’s monster!

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Best of NFL Internet Week 14 Edition

Each week on Sunday’s I am glued to the NFL and the internet so I might as well put it to good use and bring to you the best videos of the weekend from the NFL. These are not just highlights and good plays because you can get those from anywhere. These will be different. These are the videos that the big corporate shows are not going to show you. I mean some of the videos might be but you get the point. I’m also going to miss some videos because I’m human, the internet is a big place, and I’m lazy so understand that as well. These are in no particular order. Lets get started.

  1. Tyron Smith wears a knee brace on his elbow. 
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The Dude is so big that he has to use a knee brace on his arm. Imagine being that big of a human. I assume if you have to use a knee brace on your arm that you also have to somehow put 2 Magnums together. 

2. Bears Wedding Bouquet Toss Celebration

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Hilarious. I enjoy that they did the Bouquet toss where none of the dudes really want to catch it and it just falls to that unlucky sole. Don’t be the guy that tries really hard during the Bouquet toss. 

3. Mahomes off of one foot across his body 50 yards to convert 4th & 9

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The dude has ridiculous arm talent. Mahomes is easily the most fun person to watch in the NFL. He’s like Favre, Rodgers, and Randall Cunningham all in one. This throw was impressive but I still believe this is the best throw I’ve ever seen.

4. Mahomes no look curveball 

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Is the game that easy for him that he is just out there throwing know look benders on the money now? What is even the point of going no look? And then to curve it like your James McAvoy or Angelina Jolie… what kind of Wizardry are we dealing with here. 

5. Our own Pat McAfee covering the miracle in Miami.

https://twitter.com/PatMcAfeeShow/status/1071874888141602817

I could watch this for hours and hours. Did the Patriots think Ryan Tannehill was going to throw the ball 80 yards for a hail mary, what is Gronk even doing in there. I love nothing more than a professional athlete looking unathletic and Gronk looked like me trying to chase down my dog in the backyard. 

6. Frank Gore is more of a man than I

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Jesus christ get a cage for that thing. Someone is going to lose an eye. 

7. Redskins dancing Santa

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Ya ya this is fun and not bad but you’re trying to recreate the goat of dancing mascots and you will never beat the BYU Cougar. 

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