On today’s show, Pat and the rest of the guys are back from vacation with a LOADED show. Pat discusses his trip to Hawaii and gives a breakdown of how he popped the question to Sam in an Avatar-like setting on the island. He and the rest of the guys also discuss what else they did while they were away on vacation, discuss a couple of the documentaries they watched while on break including ‘Abducted in Plain Sight,’ chat about the pothole epidemic in Indianapolis, give their thoughts on the AAF so far, and chat about the upcoming St. Patrick’s Day sale coming soon to PatMcAfeeShow.com. Also included are two incredible interviews from Super Bowl week with the voice of Monday Night Football and Top Rank Boxing, all around electric human being, Joe Tessitore (2:01:23-2:21:54); as well as an inspirational interview with Steelers linebacker and 2X Pro Bowler, Ryan Shazier, as he chats about his incredible journey to recovery and how confident he is that he’ll play football again (2:22:36-2:38:51). It’s great to be back. Come and laugh with us, cheers.
I’m currently 63-29-6 for NBA picks thus far. I think that’s respectable but what do I know, This is the first time in my life that I’ve really focused on betting NBA games but I’m kind of digging it. I have no idea if the method I’m using for my picks will continue produce this level of success long term, but I’m keeping it until it doesn’t. If you want to follow my daily action, download and subscribe to The Action Network.
Here’s 3 picks for tonight:
DAL -4 vs CHA (-150). The Mavericks are 18-7 ATS at home, 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 against Eastern Conference opponents. The Hornets are 11-14 ATS on the road, 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games against a team with a winning home record and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Wednesday games. These guys hate Hump Day!
SAC +4.5 vs HOU (-150). The Kings are 19-7-1 ATS at home, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against Southwest Conference opponents and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The Rockets are 2-8 against the spread in their last 10 games, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on the road and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win. I’m playing the percentages on this one and saying the Rockets aren’t hitting their mark tonight.
UTA -12.5 vs PHX (-150). The Jazz are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against teams in the NBA Pacific, 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games after a straight up or ATS loss and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Wednesday games. The Jazz love Hump Day! The Suns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in the previous game and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after an ATS win, so the Suns won’t shine tonight.
Today’s show is a great one. First, former Heisman Trophy winner, 1st round draft pick of the Denver Broncos, the greatest college football player of all-time and current outfielder in the New York Mets organization, Tim Tebow, joins the show from Top Golf in Atlanta for an incredible conversation. They discuss what it was like being Tim Tebow in college, his transition to the NFL and the most difficult part, talks a little bit about his perspective about life, chats more about his MLB aspirations and what his walkup song will be, and how he handles all the scrutiny every time he does something (4:51-27:37). Also joining the show is the king of scoops himself, one of the best in the game at his job, the creator of the “Adam Bomb,” Adam Schefter. They discuss what Super Bowl week is like for him, the guys dig for a couple updates on some scoops, what he thinks is going to happen with the Antonio Brown situation, and the stresses of having troll Twitter accounts make fake news with his name and having to deal with the repercussions (55:54-1:13:46). The guys also recap the entire Super Bowl week from Top Golf and who some of their favorite guests were and which people surprised them. They also recap the weight loss competition, and dive into their thoughts on the Super Bowl, the commercials, and Boston Connor chats about his experience seeing the Patriots win a Super Bowl in person. It’s a great one. Come and laugh with us, cheers.
You work all season long building your betting bankroll so on Super Bowl Sunday you can go ahead and bet on 20 different things. Super Bowl betting is the most beautiful thing in the world. You can bet on pretty much anything. With that being said I have compiled 20 bets that I have put my own money on for Sunday and decided to share them with you. Will they all win? Nope, actually some are in contradiction of one another but at the end of the day we just want to be up money. These are in no particular order.
- Under 9.5 (-130) Total Players with a Rush Attempt.
Ok lets assume Michel, White, Burkhead, Gurley, & CJ Anderson all get carries. That’s a guaranteed 5. Then Brady and Goff probably, That’s 7. That leaves us wiggle room for say a Robert Woods end around & a Pat Devlin Dive (Handsome Fella).
2. Over 11.5 Third Down Conversions (-115)
If we go by team averages this one is going to be tight. Each team is in the top 10 in 3rd down conversion percentage at around 44%. They average 13 and 12 3rd down attempts a game. 44% of 25 is 11. I give the offenses the advantage in this game so I am rolling with the over.
3. No defensive or Special Teams TD’s (-190)
We have 2 teams that are very good at taking care of the ball. Each team averaged .7 Int’s thrown per game and .4 fumbles per game (none in playoffs). If we do have 2 turnovers the chances of one being returned in very slim. Both teams are also in the top 5 in giving up return TD’s this season. Patriots have given up 0 while the Rams only 1.
4. Will the game be decided by exactly 3 points. Yes (+350)
I am one who strongly believes that Vegas is very good at what they do. If Vegas has the line at 2.5 then I’ll take +350 odds on a 3 point finish happening.
5. Will there be 3 unanswered scores in a game. No (+220)
I personally think it will be a good game. Coaching, offense, defense, special teams for both teams are good. In a close game it is rare that one team scores 3 times in a row and I am banking on that here. Keep it close like last time.
6. Will there be a score in the first 4 minutes of the 2nd Qtr. Yes (-115)
Just seems like a game where they possibly feel each other out for the first 11 minutes an then someone going into the red-zone as the 1st Quarter comes to an end. No real science behind this one. All gut.
7. Lost fumbles by both teams. 0 (+150)
Both teams are top 10 in the league in not losing Fumbles. My one worry would be that Rams defensive line causing one but Brady is so smart when it comes to job security.
8. Player to score first TD – Brady +5000
9. Player to score first TD – Goff +5000
I just couldn’t pass up +5000. If you get those odds you have to take them no matter what. Can see Brady sneaking it in now.
10. Will game go to OT – Yes (+850)
Pat is doing something with Buffalo Wild Wings and if the game goes to OT everyone gets free wings and if Pat is involved it will probably happen.
11. Will any of the scoring drives take less time than the National Anthem – Yes (+100)
This might be my lock of the night. O/U on national anthem is 1:43. So many opportunities for drives under 1:43 at end of half, end of game, off a turnover. Love this bet.
12. Under 5.5 Catches for Brandin Cooks. (-105)
13. Under 77.5 yards for Brandin Cooks (-115)
If there is one thing Belichick always does it is take away your best WR. Tyreek Hill at 1 catch for 43 yards against the Patriots last week. He knows Cooks after he played for the Patriots and there is no way he lets Cooks go off.
14. Under 3.5 catches for Phillip Dorsett (-125)
Im not buying the Phil Dorsett hype. I mean look at these stats below and now that he has scored in 3 straight games someone may actually pay attention to him. He’s not going over on 3.5 catches.
15. Rams +3 (-120)
I’m doing it. Im going with the Rams. I know this will probably come back on me but there is something that I really like about this team. I think the can get pressure with 4 and that’s always been the recipe to beat the Patriots.
16. 13 Point Teaser (-125) – Stick with me on this one.
All we need on this one is for the game to fall in between 45 and 71 points and for the score to fall somewhere in between Patriots +10 and Rams +16. When you think about it, seems quite plausible. Only thing that worries me is that 45 number. I can see 24-21 game happening.
17. National Anthem Over 1:43 (-160)
In 1991 Gladys sang the National Anthem and when I listen to it I always get it lasting around 1:34 which would be 9 seconds under on the bet and I really wanted to go there. This is the Super Bowl though. Gladys is a performer. Gladys is a little older. Gladys make take a little more time in between notes to make sure she sounds good. Give me Gladys and the over.
18. Length of time of Brave – Under 4.5 Seconds (-110)
In 91 she sang the “Brave” part for 4 seconds. That was almost 30 years ago. Don’t think Gladys has it in her to carry the brave out for more than 4.5.
19. Coin Toss Tails (-102)
This one is simple. Vegas needs Tails to make money. I’ll root with Vegas and the whole never fails thing.
20. Will Gene Steratore get 1st replay call correct? Yes (-170)
Gene is one of the best to ever do it. I do miss the days of Mike Carey getting every single call wrong in the booth but that’s not how Gene operates. Great Italian guy from the Burgh doesn’t mess up.
21. Patriots -6.5 Alternate Line +150
Just a little if everything falls apart bet. Do I want the Patriots to win by a touchdown? No, but if they do you bet your ass I’ll be there to collect on it.
If you do not like any of these bets there are little 400 different prop bets out there right now. You don’t even have to like football to enjoy gambling on the Super Bowl. Have some fun with it. Good Luck to everyone.
Follow my bets here
On today’s show, Pat conducts a State of the Podcast from a conference room inside of the hotel in Atlanta and opens up the floor for some questions. The guys discuss the many challenges they’re facing for their Super Bowl week content, Pat recaps his experience on Radio Row at Media day including the radio hits he did with Clay Travis (54:53-1:13:01) and Toucher & Rich from 98.5 in Boston (1:20:23-1:32:38). Pat and the guys also recap their different travel stories en route to Atlanta, get a surprise phone call from AQ Shipley for a quick conversation, check in on the weight loss challenge as it has become a two-horse race, plus Pat puts Gorman’s brain into a pretzel with one of his many illusions. Pat and the guys also discuss the Super Bowl a little bit and what they’re looking forward to, what some of the more interesting prop bets they’re looking at are, and ultimately who they think is going to win the game, and give a quick preview of where to find all of the different ways you can watch what they’re doing in Atlanta. It’s a fun one. Come and laugh with us, cheers.
Tony Digs kicked off the prop talk with a blog on Monday and I’m here to throw a few more in your face as we inch closer to Sunday. Before you quit out of the browser cause you think all my props are about Brady, know I got a few more up my sleeve than just a Tom touchdown.
Brady TD in the Third Quarter – Yes +115
Lets get this out of the way. These Super Bowls can sometimes start a little awkwardly for the Patriots. With that being said, if they win the toss they’ll differ but if the Rams get the ball in the second half and score, Brady will answer right away. Might be the biggest lock of a prop I have on the board.
Sony Michel 1st Half TD +175
Michel to score the first touchdown is another prop I thought about but I like this one of him scoring in the first half. If we get the ball down inside the 5, we’ll give the ball to Sony at least twice and with the way our offensive line is pushing people around, I like the chance we score.
James White First half TD +275
Pairing the Michel prop with this prop is the smart move cause there is a chance they both score. If the ball is outside the 5 and we’re in the red zone, James White is in the game with the run pass threat. As everyone knows, Brady throws it to the back A LOT in the Super Bowl.
Philip Dorsett Touchdown +215
Philip Dorsett has had a touchdown in both of our playoff games this year. He’ll likely have a closer eye on him but in the red zone all eyes are on Gronk and Edelman.
Brandin Cooks under 5.5 catches -140
Tony also had this prop on his list so if you haven’t bet it yet, take it now. The Patriots will not let Cooks beat them. Gilmore is the best corner in the NFL this year and there’s no way he gets 6 catches.
Gerald Everett over 23.5 yards -115
Gerald Everett is a guy that will have to make plays if the Rams have any chance. I think he can get 23 yards in a catch so I like this over. Everett is the Rams Dorsett so a TD might be something to think about.
Largest Lead in The Game Under 14.5 points +100
If a team is leading by 14, I think both the Patriots and the Rams will do whatever it takes to score a touchdown. Neither coach is going to want to get down big and I expect this to be close to the end.
Longest Field Goal Over 47.5 yards -105
With Gostowski and Zuerlein being the two kickers, both are proven studs from deep. I think if there’s a field goal in the 47-55 range, it will be taken by either kicker, especially with the game being indoors.
Roughing the Passer Penalty +155
At some point I think one of these is called. I might be completely wrong, especially after the controversy in the AFC game, but I’m not not going to take this bet with Suh on the field.
This game has the makings for an overtime thriller. That, and we all get free wings thanks to BWW’s and Pat for a hell of a deal. Pats win in overtime is the ideal situation. Pats win in regulation, also not a terrible situation.
The Super Bowl is the Super Bowl of gambling (Trademark) so good luck picking the right props. Tony’s got mostly winners, I got mostly losers so we’ll meet in the middle.
The TNT games tonight are a couple of doozies. First, we get the talked about Pelicans going to take on the Rockets. Then, we go to LA where the Lakers welcome Embiid and the boys to town. There is money to be made in these games so let’s get to it.
Pelicans @ Rockets is the first game on TNT and I don’t know exactly what to think. Always tough when your best player asks to be traded but sometimes teams can react differently to that type of noise. Holiday may say “Hey AD, look at me, I can score. Maybe we recruit someone here?” AD still says nah I’m good, but the idea of points galore tonight is there. For that reason, I’m taking the over in this game even though its set at 234. CP3 still needs to get his rhythm back but thats gonna happen tonight when the Rockets go for 140 and the win. It’s always nice getting an over 230 game to match with a TNT Tuesday. For the Sixers/Lakers matchup, there are a few things to take a peak at. When I say a few things, I mean one, and his name is Joel Embiid. He’s the best big man in the NBA bar none and there’s nobody on the Lakers that can stop him. That, on top of Ben Simmons and no Lebron James, is the reason Sixers -6.5 is a lock tonight. Sixers will handle the Lakers and soon the team will be blown up as they make a move for AD. Mark my words, if he’s not traded by the deadline it’s cause the Pelicans want our 3 first round picks, Terry, Smart, and maybe Brown. Who knows, I’d throw Hayward in too if they would take him.
For the college game, we’re going to ride with the hot team and by that I mean the #1 team in the country, Tennessee. The Vols go to South Carolina to take on the gamecocks in a little Tuesday night college duel. The SEC has had a great year for basketball and that will continue for Tennessee against a mediocre SC team. The Vols are -8.5 and they’ll continue on as the best team in the country, for now.
Recap: Pelicans/Rockets over 234, Sixers -6.5, Tennessee -8.5. Those are the three games that I like tonight so let’s hope we got some winners. There may be more picks coming later so keep an eye out.
Ciao, paisans. Hope everyone had a beautiful weekend. We are back and we have a beautiful menu of picks for you tonight.
Gorms – Brooklyn Nets +11 vs Celts. They shoot and the team as a whole is fast.
Connor – Charlotte/Knicks over 221 – lotta unders lately for the Knicks but that ends tonight cause everyone plays harder when MJ is watching
Digs – You know how much I love a nice 1st period over as a delicious appetizer to get the night going. Tonight that happens in Pittsburgh.
Gorms: Pacers +7 vs GSW. Indy at home where they shoot well and they become faster.
Connor: Denver – 5.5, Memphis is crumbling within, Jokic owns the paint in Grizzlie country tonight.
Digs: Knicks +12.5, Charlotte is not good enough to be that big of a favorite.
Gorms: Penguins destroy the Devils. Got a guy who shoots.
Connor: Pacers/Warriors over 228 – No Oladipo or Draymond Green means no defense tonight. Could see a fired up pacers team running around dunking balls tonight.
Digs: Winnipeg ML. Flyers are horrendous. All Star Break isn’t changing that.
Good Luck, Salud, and Follow our Bets here:
Send in all of your picks to @BroBroBroBets on Twitter
Have I been cold as of late? Absolutely. Is there rain before rainbows? Every time my friend. We’ll get some NBA and some college but more than anything we’ll get some world class winners. Let’s dive into Super Bowl Week with these games tonight.
Tonight, there’s a few games to chose from but we’re going with the age old strategy of betting with the best teams. Look, there’s no need to overthink things in the wishy washy NBA. We’re almost half way through the season and by now the teams who are on the bottom tier should all be thinking Zion Zion Zion. With that being said, the Warriors are heading to Indiana and without Victor Oladipo, the hope in the Pacers season is dwindling. Warriors are coming off a big win against the Celtics and had a nice day to rest yesterday. I’m taking the Warriors -8.5 and I assume this line will go up as the day goes on. Warriors are rolling and that continues tonight with a wounded Pacers team. Speaking of wounded teams, the Memphis Grizzlies are crumbling from the heart and Gasol/Conley are both up for grabs. When your team is shopping the two best players they have, things could be better. For Denver, they’ve become a serious contender and with Isaiah Thomas coming back after the all star break, they could be a force. I don’t think they’ll beat the Warriors, but they will definitely beat the Grizzlies tonight by 7. Nuggets are -6 and will continue to roll tonight against a team that doesn’t know where it’s going.
The college game can be very unforgiving. There has been bad beat after bad beat this year in the college game but we’re going to reverse that curse tonight. The only team that would be able to do it, aside from my Oregon Ducks of course, is the team that has frogs with horns. That’s right, the TCU Horned Frogs take on the Texas Tech Red Raiders tonight in Texas. TCU is +4.5 and are 4-1 in their last 5 ATS. I’m not a stats guy, but if I was, that stat would for sure convince me to take TCU. Texas Tech screwed me last time I took them so now it’s time for some revenge, frog revenge that is. TCU +4.5 tonight at Texas Tech and look for a big conference win for the Frogs tonight.
Recap: Warriors -8.5, Nuggets -6, TCU +4.5. Those are the three basketball games to take for tonight and if you don’t like any of them then the TCU under seems to be a smart play. Good luck to all and lets get those account balances in the green.
Good day to all and to all a good day. We’ve got winners across the board and your bookie is going to need extra provolone for his salami sandwich cause we’re going to rob him blind. We’re dying for a little food, so let’s serve some apps.
Digs – Houston +2 – You’re going to make the beard a home dawg? Tony’s jumping on that like the first slice of pizza he’ll jump on after the weight loss challenge.
Connor – Denver -15 – The Phoenix Suns are coming off a back to back and the Nuggets are one of the best home teams in the NBA this year. I like them more than I like the lasagna I had for dinner last night.
Gorms – Milwaukee -11 – Sticking to his guns, the Greek Freak is fast and he shoots.
Digs – Wizards +3.5 – In what world does Orlando deserve to be this big of a favorite? Tony Digs asks and nobody can give an answer.
Connor – Michigan -4 – Michigan off a loss is going to be a team on a mission. Same way I’m on a mission to find the greatest chicken parmesan sub in Indianapolis.
Gorms – Brooklyn -10 – Gorman is all over D’Angelo Russell and thinks he’ll be hitting all night. Plus, he shoots and he’s fast, fast.
Digs – Denver -15 – Suns stink, Nuggets are good. That’s all that needs to be said for Tony.
Connor – Jazz -10 – Minnesota is coming off a back to back and Rudy Gobert will give Karl Anthony Towns the business all night. Love the Jazz just like I love my dessert.
Gorms – Jazz -10 – Joe Ingles can shoot, but he isn’t fast. Gorman isn’t worried either way.
Those are the picks for tonight, go tell your bookie to back up the dump trucks cause he’ll need to with these winners on the board.