I’m currently 63-29-6 for NBA picks thus far. I think that’s respectable but what do I know, This is the first time in my life that I’ve really focused on betting NBA games but I’m kind of digging it. I have no idea if the method I’m using for my picks will continue produce this level of success long term, but I’m keeping it until it doesn’t. If you want to follow my daily action, download and subscribe to The Action Network.
Here’s 3 picks for tonight:
DAL -4 vs CHA (-150). The Mavericks are 18-7 ATS at home, 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 against Eastern Conference opponents. The Hornets are 11-14 ATS on the road, 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games against a team with a winning home record and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Wednesday games. These guys hate Hump Day!
SAC +4.5 vs HOU (-150). The Kings are 19-7-1 ATS at home, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against Southwest Conference opponents and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The Rockets are 2-8 against the spread in their last 10 games, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on the road and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win. I’m playing the percentages on this one and saying the Rockets aren’t hitting their mark tonight.
UTA -12.5 vs PHX (-150). The Jazz are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against teams in the NBA Pacific, 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games after a straight up or ATS loss and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Wednesday games. The Jazz love Hump Day! The Suns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in the previous game and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after an ATS win, so the Suns won’t shine tonight.
Good day to all and to all a good day. We’ve got winners across the board and your bookie is going to need extra provolone for his salami sandwich cause we’re going to rob him blind. We’re dying for a little food, so let’s serve some apps.
Digs – Houston +2 – You’re going to make the beard a home dawg? Tony’s jumping on that like the first slice of pizza he’ll jump on after the weight loss challenge.
Connor – Denver -15 – The Phoenix Suns are coming off a back to back and the Nuggets are one of the best home teams in the NBA this year. I like them more than I like the lasagna I had for dinner last night.
Gorms – Milwaukee -11 – Sticking to his guns, the Greek Freak is fast and he shoots.
Digs – Wizards +3.5 – In what world does Orlando deserve to be this big of a favorite? Tony Digs asks and nobody can give an answer.
Connor – Michigan -4 – Michigan off a loss is going to be a team on a mission. Same way I’m on a mission to find the greatest chicken parmesan sub in Indianapolis.
Gorms – Brooklyn -10 – Gorman is all over D’Angelo Russell and thinks he’ll be hitting all night. Plus, he shoots and he’s fast, fast.
Digs – Denver -15 – Suns stink, Nuggets are good. That’s all that needs to be said for Tony.
Connor – Jazz -10 – Minnesota is coming off a back to back and Rudy Gobert will give Karl Anthony Towns the business all night. Love the Jazz just like I love my dessert.
Gorms – Jazz -10 – Joe Ingles can shoot, but he isn’t fast. Gorman isn’t worried either way.
Those are the picks for tonight, go tell your bookie to back up the dump trucks cause he’ll need to with these winners on the board.
The NBA report is back but going forward, the best picks will be on the Bro Bro Bro Bets show, posted on this site most days around 6 pm. It’s a little late, but you’ll still have an hour to throw in those bets. 7-1-1 between Bro Bro Bro Bets last night and we’ll do our best to keep the bets rolling. I got a few picks to go with the ones you’ll find on Bro Bro Bro tonight.
For starters, of course, I’ll be taking the Celtics -1.5 as we welcome the Raptors to town tonight. I’ve never thought there would be this type of hostility that’s been thrown around the Celtics locker room, but it’s probably more media propaganda than anything. There have been whispers about Dennis Smith Jr. being shopped for a point guard. Even though there isn’t one player I want to give up, Rozier for DSJ wouldn’t be the worst move for a Celtics team that has been a little off all year. I think it’s a terrible fit and the last thing we need is another great young guy we’ll have to pay but you’re an ass if you don’t imagine whatever players being shopped around the league landing on your own team. Don’t even get me started on Porzingis. Celtics -1.5 and this line will probably go up, Boston’s a tough place to play.
The next two picks that I’ll be taking (aside from the 3 that will be featured tonight on Bro Bro Bro Bets) are two dogs away from home. First, will be the Pelicans at +7 going into Golden State. Golden State is coming off an All Star Game performance, dropping 150 on the Nuggets in Denver. That sort of drop off from the Mile High city to the Bay Area is massive. That’s why I like the Pelicans +7 in Golden State tonight. Curry and KD probably housed a bottle of wine on the plane ride back while Tony Davis and the Pelicans were already in getting prepared for the Warriors. Take the +7 even if it is against Golden State but be careful of the over, 241 screwed me when the Pelicans played the Clippers. Which leads me to the Clippers hosting the Jazz tonight. The Jazz and Clippers both fascinate me cause I fee like Jazz should be better and the Clippers should be worse. With that being said, I’m going to last second switch from Jazz +1 to the over 224.5. It feels like the Clippers have gone over every home game except for when they played the Pelicans Monday. You could say that I’m discouraged but then you would be a liar. No discouragement. We march blindly into the gambling abyss everyday no matter what.
Recap: Celtics -1.5, Jazz/Clippers over 224.5, Pelicans +7. I like all three of these but I LOVE the picks that are given from Gabagoools tonight. Gorms, Digs, and myself have 9 more games to win money on. Good luck and check back in with Bro Bro Bro Bets right here at 6 for the rest of the bets on this hump day in January.
It’s always a good Monday when the Patriots handle little brother Philip Rivers and move on to the conference championship again. Pats @ Chiefs and even if it wasn’t ever fully set in stone, this seemed to be where all roads led to. With that being said, let’s get to the basketball that will be bounced tonight.
Speaking of big brother little brother, Celtics are heading to Brooklyn to take on the Nets tonight. Celtics are -4 at the Barclays Center and I love every point. It must be intimidating to look over and see two studs in Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum that should of been on their team. Too bad Danny Ainge cuckolded the Brooklyn Nets of their future by dishing Pierce and Garnett. The Nets have been surprisingly good this year, Jarret Allen being one of the guys that stands out the most as an up and coming big man in the NBA. That will take some time though, and the Celtics are great right now. Celtics -4 away and then the Raptors come to town Wednesday. Big game coming off the loss so look for the Celtics to pick it up tonight. If there are guys out, this spread will change but I’ll still take the C’s. Next, we have the man who goes harden the paint, yes, the Houston Rockets. Hard in, Harden, the pun is definitely there, don’t take that away from me. Seriously though, Grizzlies at Rockets and Houston is a six point favorite. I like Houston in games like this. Teams like the Grizzlies who have been good but aren’t completely there yet are teams James Harden and the boys eat for lunch. Jaren Jackson Jr. has been a massive under the radar stud for the Grizzlies in his rookie year but that’s not enough against the MVP.
The next team we’re taking tonight is the Utah Jazz -8. the Jazz have been getting in a rhythm as of late and have won their last 4 games in a row at home. Utah is a tough place to get wins in cause Mormons can scream and shout with some of the best. Donovan Mitchel has had a bit of a sophomore slump but a big part of growing up in the NBA is learning how to save your energy for the playoffs. When a team is only beating the Bulls by 8, you know they’re thinking about the late season push and not about the guy who bet them. Would be nice if they started considering people like us but I understand the winning aspect of it, I guess. Last, we have an over under coming to you from the West coast. My team from Sacramento, the Kings, are welcoming Dame Dolla and the Trail Blazers into town for a little Monday night basket show. I’m taking Blazers/Kings over 227 tonight and if there’s one thing you know, it’s how much I love those Sacramento overs. I do like the Kings -2.5 at home but I like the over here more because the Blazers could always steal one. If they do though, it’ll still have to be a points fest cause they’ll have to keep up with the Kings scoring attack. Points points points is the word in this one tonight and that’s what we’ll finish with to cap off the Monday.
Recap: Celtics -4, Kings/Blazers over 227, Houston -6, Jazz -8. In the college game we’ll rock with Indiana -2 and Maryland -3.5. Let’s get a good start to the week and make some money tonight.
Our weekend ended up being a good old fashioned 50/50 split between the plethora of games we were taking. The only reason it ended up in the positive was because of a Golden Tate touchdown at odds of +500. My normal rule for the player prop tab is to close the browser once you open it. However, when you take one for every playoff game you better take a prop for the last one too cause even if you’re 1/4 on them for the weekend you still end up on in the green. Let’s get to tonight.
Now, I always take the Celtics no matter what, but tonight against the Brooklyn Nets is a little different. The Nets are god awful on back to back games and they went to war yesterday against the Chicago Bulls. Celtics at home -9.5 is a lot but this Boston team has been hitting their stride and it’ll continue with the Nets. To think we got Tatum and Brown with the picks the Nets gave us. Classic cuckold by Danny Ainge just swindling everyone in the Nets front office. We’ll run the Nets out of the gym with or without Kyrie. Look for a full fledged blowout tonight at the Garden which will probably mean under city if you don’t want to take the -9.5. A much better game tonight is Nuggets @ Rockets. I don’t think anyone is slowing down James Harden right now and normally I like the Nuggets but only when they’re playing in Mile High. This game is in Houston and after that big Golden State win, the Rockets will keep rolling on. Look for James Harden to come through big again for his team and if they are losing at half big (again), double down and live bet the Rockets ML. Payout is big and will be a reason to keep watching.
The next two games we’re staying in the Western Conference. The other night I took the Sacramento Kings against the Golden State Warriors. I pinched myself multiple times, but I wasn’t dreaming. Naturally I turned in figuring I threw away 20 bucks, but when I awoke to a Kings cover, I knew these boys were for real. Kings are at home against the Magic who are coming off a back to back as well. Kings -5.5 and I never thought in my life I would feel so great about a Sacramento Kings team. The future is bright for Marv and De’Aaron and by future I mean tonight as the Kings win by at least 6. Next we go to the opposite side of this spread, +5.5. The Utah Jazz are coming off a Detroit game where Donovan put on a show to will the Jazz to victory. Tonight, they got Giannis and the Bucks in Milwaukee. I haven’t been a huge Bucks guy thus far and that may bite me in the ass, but I like Utah as the dogs tonight. 5.5 is a lot of points for a very solid Jazz team and I think they put up a good fight. With Gobert in the middle, lets hope the big man can slow down Giannis in the paint. If he can, look for Joe Ingles to be dropping buckets in the corner on the offensive end.
The small game known as the National Championship is tonight and although I’m a huge proponent on bet on the better team, I’m taking Clemson tonight. Dexter Lawrence should be playing but weed will be weed. Trevor Lawrence is the guy who comes in slinging and cements himself as the best QB in division 1 football. With that being said, Bama could win by a field goal and make this a National Championship to remember. Clemson +5.5 is too much and even though I might switch my pick right before game time, 5.5 is just too much for me right now.
Recap: Celtics -9.5, Rockets -1.5, Kings -5.5, Jazz +5.5, Clemson +5.5 (as of right now). It’s a new week so forget about what the bookie took from us last week, let’s win it back. Good luck to all tonight and think about a Renfrew touchdown or over catches to start off with in the player props column.
Sunday was ruined by Jimmy Butler and the 76ers but were back at it today with more basketball to choose from tonight.
Philadephia and Elton Brand decided to make a move that would make their team a contender. However, I do think they gave up a little too much in the long run. On paper, they have a great starting 5 but with a pretty short bench. Landry Shamet is a guy for them who will get more important minutes and is a lights out shooter. Amir Johnson is the only guy I see who can play big man defense, after Embiid, on this roster now. We’ll see how the young guys play but if they don’t perform just wait for Melo to swoop in and ruin their season. Seems as though his time in the Lone Star State is all over.
Naturally, I’m going to take the 76ers (+2) @ Heat tonight. Going to take them ML too just cause they’re dogs and even without Jimmy Butler I think this team is better than Miami. Embiid and Simmons still get the job done without the old starting 5 but just the spread being this small and Butler not playing, I can see a player like Simmons call it early to save his energy for the Butler welcoming on Sunday.
Jazz @ Grizzlies and Spurs @ Kings are the two other spreads I’m taking tonight. Jazz and Spurs are both -3 and I’m taking the two away favorites. I think the Grizzlies still suck and after the Jazz beat the Celtics I want to see where the Utah train takes me. Spurs have Pop and I feel like he destroys teams with young guys on it. De’aaron Fox is a good talent but the oldies on the Spurs get this one done. Lastly, and most important, our over 230 for the night. Right now we sit at a comfortable 2-3 overall for these over 230 games. I warned you all the NBA is watching me but I think this week they let these games go because of how many points were scored in the NFL yesterday. Tonight, Pelicans @ Raptors with a sturdy over 232.5 will be the game we look to for points. My favorite part of every night is hoping two teams come together for an all out points fest. Let’s hope this happens in the 6 tonight and Drake’s celebrating all over the court.
Before we get into it, Carmelo Anthony is a curse. The Houston Rockets lost by 18 points to a Thunder team who didn’t have Russel Westbrook. This is the same team that was the “best team in the league” last year. Now, without Trevor Ariza they are somehow crumbling. If you told me last year this team would lose to the Thunder without Westbrook playing, I would of told you I also lost a bet. Call me a fortune teller and a curse teller cause Melo’s career has turned him into a Conjuring-esque idol. That, along with a Celtics 7 point overtime victory after being down 20 points were my two losses. Celtics -9.5 is still a lock. If you want an honest blog about the Celtics, look elsewhere, because I’ll slam them till I have nothing left to bet.
The other two we cashed in on was the Trail Blazers -5 and….OVER 239.5! Makes sense that this Bucks Warriors game went over cause I said the NBA was watching my blog and because I called them out, they know they can’t stop the overs. Let’s hope the trend continues tonight. The Trail Blazers covered 5 by plenty and I think betting against the Clippers this year might be safe. If not bet that over cause they can’t play defense for shit. Our over 230 record is at 2-2 and overall were batting a cool .500, lets get above that 50% mark with these picks tonight.
We’ll start with our over 230 because we only got one tonight (makes sense NBA is watching me) and it’s Timberwolves Kings over 230.5. I’ll be honest, This is the first over 230 that I don’t like, but were testing theories here so were taking it anyways. If it looks bad at halftime, expect me to double down immediately. Next, and most obvious, were taking Celtics +6 at the Jazz. I’m also going to double down here and take the Celtics ML at +205. I know they looked bad last night and are playing back to back but we’ll get the job done. Last two I’m going with is Hornets/76ers over 226 and Pacers @ Heat -1.5. This is the second time I’ve bet against the Heat this week so if it doesn’t go well expect us to start betting on Miami. Oladipo is hot (also on my fantasy team) and I want to ride him and Sabonis to the promise land. I feel like every time I watch Philly play I see Ben Simmons playing James Harden defense. Kemba has a big night and this game goes way over. Again, if you don’t like them, bet against me and make some money, I’m still taking credit for your success. For those of you betting with me, let’s ride.
It’s Friday, everyone have a great weekend and look for some more picks tomorrow.