PMS 2.0 042 – Chuck Pagano Makes Incredible Debut

On today’s show, Pat welcomes one of his white whales. Former Head Coach of the Indianapolis Colts and current Defensive Coordinator of the Chicago Bears, Chuck Pagano, finally joins the show. He and Pat chat about the adjustments he had to make during his time away from football, the season he was diagnosed with cancer and he dives deep into his process to recovery. They also reminisce on a couple of their seasons together, and Chuck looks ahead to all the weapons he’ll have on the Bears defense (2:52-35:37). Later, Pat and the guys discuss plans for what to expect once they get to Atlanta, and Pat teases some guests that may be stopping by. Pat also recaps his weekend in Phoenix for the WWE NXT Takeover preshow, playing golf with AQ Shipley and Foxy, and how he had perhaps the best steak on the west coast. The guys also recap the Pro Bowl and offer a few enhancements, discuss the final few moments left in the weight loss competition, and Pat details his near death experience driving to work. Today’s a good one. Come and laugh with us, cheers.

Adam Vinatieri Aint Done Yet

Adam Vinatieri aint ready to call it a career just yet, the future hall of famer and all time leading scorer will return for a 24th yes you read that correctly 24th year. 

Its a great day for the brand and the Indianapolis Colts, more than anything he said he wants that fifth Super Bowl ring. With the way last season went for the Colts and the cap room available they could very well make a deep run into next years playoffs. 

When asked about the signing Chris Ballard said that it was about way more than field goals and extra points when it came to bringing him back. Saying that it was more about his presence around the team and just how valuable he is to the young Colts squad. Ballard also credited how hard Vinatieri works to take care of his body and being a true pro for having the impact he has on this team. Vinatieri went 23-27 last year still keeping up a high field goal percentage.

His legacy will live on forever once he calls it quits so lets enjoy watching the GOAT of all kickers for as long as we still can. Heres hoping he gets his fifth Super Bowl and can ride off into the sunset as a champion. What a great day for the brand and the NFL hope y’all enjoy your weekend cheers.

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NFL Picks For The Weekend

Four games this weekend and every one is going to be a barn burner this weekend. Dogs all over the place with a few sneaky second half bets to blow the doors off this Divisional Weekend.

Chargers @ Patriots is set at 5 right now. I think this is a 3 point game so even a Patriots -5 won’t be a safe call. One of the props I may take for this game is Chargers to lead at half and Patriots to win the game. The Patriots love doing the old ‘lose first half then come back in the second half’ move in the playoffs. As good as the Chargers are, I think Philly makes one too  many mistakes in the cold and the Patriots squeeze out a last second field goal to win. This would give us home field for the AFC championship as well.

That’s right, I hate the Colts but I’m all over them. Colts are +5.5 against the Chiefs in Kansas City and I like the Colts straight up in this one as well. The Chiefs don’t have a defense and the Colts are one of the hottest teams in the NFL. First half Colts I like a lot which I’ll put with the full game spread too. If they get a lead, it’s going to be hard for the Chiefs to get into a rhythm because of how great the Colts run game is. They can chew clock with the best of them and because of this, Mahomes might have a little trouble finding a rhythm early. Very excited for the Frank vs Andy battle and hoping for a good one in KC. 

Dallas is +7 against the Rams and this team isn’t like the other Cowboys teams we’ve seen in the past. They have a defense this year, something Dallas has never seemed to have in my recent memory. I’m taking Rams team over in this one cause I don’t know if the Cowboys secondary is good enough to hang with the McVay brain who’s cooking up touchdown play after touchdown play. That’s why I’m going money line Cowboys with the Rams team over cause I don’t see this being a 7 point game. Cowboys squeeze a win or it’s a blowout. Let’s hope the Cowboys squeeze it out and we all make a decent chunk of change.

And your NFC champion, the New Orleans Saints. Saints are -8 and I think they end up winning by a couple scores. Foles has been surgical since February 2018 so it’s tough to go against Sir Nick. However, nobody has won in the Superdome and I don’t think the Eagles are going to be the team to do it this year. After Sean Payton wheels out the trophy AND everyones Super Bowl bonus, it’s tough that team doesn’t at least run through the first one they see. Rams vs Saints would be a shootout for the ages but I think the Saints are representing the NFC this year. Naturally, the Patriots represent the AFC. 

Recap: Patriots ML, Cowboys ML, Rams team over, Saints -8, Colts +5.5. That’s what I got this weekend but more than anything let’s hope for some great games. Go Pats. 

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Saturday Picks For The NFL Divisional Round

HUGE Disclaimer. Yes we went 4-0 last week for the Wild Card picks and had a great weekend. Last weekend I was very confident though. This weekend I have very little confidence so don’t blame me if you follow these picks and they turn out terrible. Here are the picks for Saturday’s 2 games. I will have a blog coming out Saturday morning for Sunday’s 2 games. 

Colts +5 @ Chiefs; O/U 56.5

A game of bad trends and one has to be broken. On the bad side for the Colts, Since 1990 dome teams are 12-44 SU & 18-36-2 ATS in outdoor playoff games. On the other side the Chiefs are 0-9 against the spread at home since 1970 in the playoffs. What do those stats mean? Probably nothing for the Chiefs since they have never had a Patrick Mahomes at QB. The indoor teams going outside though I do believe in. Yes, the Colts have been absolutely on fire since they started 1-5 but have they really played anyone great?

I don’t want to take away from what the Colts have done because you have to play your schedule and they have dominated their schedule but they have not played an offense like the Chiefs. The one big worry for me is that the Chiefs are most likely without Eric Berry who makes a huge difference for that defense but I am still going to go with the Chiefs -5. Low confidence pick. Excited for Andy Reid clock management to fuck me. 

Now we head out to LA

Cowboys +6.5 @ Rams; O/U 50

Lets first start with the positive trends for both teams. For the Cowboys underdogs are 37-21-1 ATS and dogs of seven or more points are 19-11-1 ATS since 2003 in the divisional round. For the Rams they are 5-1-1 ATS when they have eight or more days between games under Sean McVay. I am slightly worried about McVay vs the ole Clapper when it comes to coaching edge in this matchup. The thing that makes me lean towards the Cowboys is how they handled the Saints offense and how the Bears HANDLED the Rams. Dallas has very similar skill on defense to the Bears. Yes it was in Chilly soldier field but Goff has shown that he is not great under pressure and after being hit a few times. If Dallas can control the clock with Zeke and then put pressure on Goff I like Dallas in this game. I am going to buy a point and get Dallas at +7 as well as take the under 50. 

You can Follow all my picks here on the Action Network. We have been on quite a nice little run. As always bet at Mybookie.Ag 

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PMS 2.0 037 – The Ungettable Interview, T.Y. Hilton, & AQ Shipley

On today’s show, Pat heads to the Indianapolis Colts’ Complex for a couple of incredible interviews before this weekend’s game against the Chiefs. First, newly minted All-Pro offensive lineman, the 6th overall pick, and one of the most dominant players in football right now, Quenton Nelson joins the show for an exclusive interview. Next, 4X Pro Bowler, one of the best WR’s in the NFL, friend of the show, T.Y. Hilton, joins Pat to talk about the entire clown mask situation with Jonathan Joseph and how he thinks the team performed against the Texans. They also look ahead to the Chiefs game, and chat a little about his relationship with Frank Reich and Andrew Luck, and shoot some craps (12:04-25:59). The guys also cover everything around the NFL as they look ahead to this weekend’s playoff games, recap the National Championship game, and welcome in AQ Shipley to chat about Bruce Arians heading to Tampa Bay and some thoughts on his new Head Coach, Kliff Kingsbury (53:19-1:04:57). Pat and the guys also get into a couple deep science issues including the discovery of the plague in Wyoming, Todd has a theory for why the water levels are rising, and they dive back into the oceans vs. space argument. They also chat a little bit about Mason Ramsey, discuss what’s going on in the weight loss competition and how miserable everyone feels, and end the show by having another huge giveaway. It’s a good one, come and laugh with us. Cheers.

Wild Card Weekend Saturday Picks

What an incredible weekend we have in front of us. This weekend is second only to the divisional round. Cherish every game that we have left. The playoffs are amazing but they are so bittersweet. We have only 11 NFL games left before we have to take on the worst month of the year without football (February). The best way to go into the offseason is with some cash in your pockets so lets see who’s going to do that for you tomorrow. 

  1. Texans vs Colts: Texans Opened 3 point favorite, Currently 1. O/U 48.5

Lets get into the trends first. These teams split during the regular season with both games being decided by 3 points so there is a great chance this is going to be a close game. That immediately makes me want to tease the Colts up to +7. Andrew Luck has been great against the AFC South going 20-8-3 ATS , The Colts are 3-1 ATS in its last four against the Texans. The one that they didn’t cover was the first game this season where they said they did not want to tie the game. The Texans have not been great against winning teams, they are 1-5 ATS against them but are also 8-2 ATS after a win this year and 6-2 as a home favorite. On the other hand the Colts are 2-3 ATS as away dogs. 2 of those losses however were during their 1-5 SU start. Now that we got all of that out of the way here are my thoughts.  

I like the Colts. Houston gave up 60 sacks for the first time since 2006. 60 sacks is absurd. Houstons o-line is a fucking dumpster fire. Sure they have incredible talent with Watson and Hopkins but they need time to make plays. On the other hand Luck has been sacked 9 times in their last 12 games. Fucking 9. The Texans have Watt & Clowney so this will be an awesome part of the game to watch but if they can’t get pressure the Texans secondary is awful. Luck has thrown for 464 and 400 yards against the Texans this season. I like the Colts and the Point or if you got it earlier in the week the points.

Now to the late game.

2. Cowboys vs Seahawks: Dallas opened 3 point favorite, now 1.5; O/U 43.5

Is this game in primetime? Yup. Russell Wilson is 22-7-3 ATS when starting a game at 6 p.m. ET or later, covering by 7.8 points per game. That’s a nice little stat going into tomorrow’s game…here’s a better one. As a home favorite, Jason Garrett is 17-32-1 and 0-2 ATS in the playoffs. The man crumbles when he is supposed to win. Now that Marvin Lewis is gone Jason Garrett is the new mediocre coach that should’ve been let go a while ago. Pete Carroll > Garrett & Wilson > Prescott. The matchup that will be fun to watch is Bobby Wagner vs Zeke. I can see Zeke easily getting 30+ touches. That is the strength of Seattle Defense. If Dallas has a chance they have to take advantage of Seattle’s weaker secondary but I don’t know if Dak has the ability to do that. I am rolling with Seattle and the points in this one plus I kinda like the under. 

To Recap: LOVE THE DOGS. I have the Colts +1/+3 and the Seahawks +1.5/+3. I’m also going to do a 6 point teaser with both of them. Lastly, under 43.5 in the Dallas & Seattle Game. 

Good Luck to all. If you want to follow all of our gambling picks plus have access to betting insights, articles, and professional picks sign up here with The Action Network. 

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I Think I’m Gonna Puke: Today’s NFL Picks

Disclaimer: My brain is absolute mush right now because the Ravens beat the Chargers and the Steelers now have a must win against the Saints. However, the picks must go on. Coming off a 4-0 week I am poised to go 0-4 so take that into account. 

  1. Dallas -7 vs Tampa Bay; O/U 48

I think it’s about time teams start giving up and it seems as if the Bucs will be one of those teams this week. Huge get well and clinch the division opportunity for the Cowboys here. They were embarrassed last week and they will take it out on a team that is less talented and less motivated. Dak and Zeke have a day against a poor Bucs defense. Take the Boys -7

2. Dolphins -3.5 vs Jaguars; O/U 38

Jaguars are DONE. Cody Kessler threw for 57 yards in 4 quarters last week. I think he was actually trying too. No way that defense goes down to south beach and doesn’t go out and party. I mean they couldn’t help themselves in England. Its a bloodbath in Miami today. The Dolphins are 6-1 at home and actually think they still have a shot at the playoffs. Buy the point and Take the fins -3 

3. Colts – 9.5 vs Giants; O/U 48

The Colts are on fire and they got a blueprint for how to shutout the Giants from the Titans last week. Without Beckham the only threat on that offense is Saquon and you can just stack the box against him. Eli is not beating you. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Giants got shutout again. Colts roll -9.5

4. Vikings -6.5 vs Lions; O/U 43

The Lions have looked AWFUL the last few weeks against the Cardinals and the Bills. Vikings may actually be catching their stride. Stafford is all banged up and the Vikings sacked him 10 times the last time they played this year. This is going to be a long day for the Lions. Take the Vikes and lay the points. 

Good luck to all today and pray for my life if Steelers lose. 

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The Colts Have a Running Game Baby!

The Colts beat the red hot Dallas Cowboys 23-0 without Andrew Luck throwing a touchdown!  What the hell is happening?!  Frank Reich’s creation has come to life!  That’s what’s happening!

When the Colts first started to bounce back from their 1-5 start, we saw the defense playing well enough to keep the game close so Luck and the offense had plenty of opportunity to score.  Now the defense has progressed to the point that they’re playing well enough to win games on their own!  They just shut out the Cowboys!  This is NOT traditional Colts football.  Colts fans are used to a system where our offense has to score on nearly every possession to pull out a win.  Do we finally have a coach that subscribes to the theory that defense wins championships?  It appears so!

Another big reason the Colts started turning this season around was that the offensive live was finally protecting Andrew Luck.  For the first time in his career Luck had time to let plays fully develop and wasn’t picking himself up off the carpet after every play.  Now, the offensive line is not only protecting their QB, they’re actually opening up running lanes.  Turns out, Marlon Mack is a very talented running back!  He just needed a little daylight, that’s all.  It’s much easier to run through a door when its open.

Speaking of open doors, big shout out to Ryan Kelly and Mo Alie-Cox for a dominant performance on the line last night!  We knew Ryan Kelly was a beast.  We just needed him to be healthy enough to play.  But what a find in Mo Allie-Cox!  Mo Alie-Cox is not just another athletic tight end with good hands.  He’s a physical specimen!  He’s 6’6″ – 260!  And unlike most former hoop stars turned tight end, this dude can block!

Every NFL team in the playoff hunt should be praying to their God or their science or their cult leader, whoever they think controls their destiny…that the Indianapolis Colts don’t make the playoffs this year because they might be the most well-rounded and dangerous team in the league right now.  They are Frank Reich’s monster!

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Colts Lose To The Worst Then Beat The Best

Last week the Colts got shut out against the Jaguars, the worst team in their division and then came back this week and beat the Texans who were arguably the best team in the division.  It feels like a real Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde situation.

It’s a real roller coaster ride but, unfortunately, I think it’s just part of the process.  The team is starting to gel and come into its own but we’re young and this system is new so there are bound to being growing pains.  The Colts have never been known for their defense but it appears that has finally changed.

The defense is doing their job.  They’re keeping us in games which is crucial as Luck and the offense work to become more consistent.  They’ve definitely shown they can be explosive and move the chains but they’ve also shown that they can shit the bed for long stretches which is frustrating.

The good news is it’s only frustrating because we know what our potential is.  We are a good football team and we have the potential to be a great football team.  We wouldn’t have been frustrated if we were shut out by the Jaguars last year.  We would’ve calmly taken a sip of our beers and let out a collective sigh, followed by a “Yeah, we suck.”  It sounds weird to say, but it actually feels good to have the right to be pissed off when we have a bad game.

I couldn’t be more happy that the Colts are in the Wild Card conversation and I couldn’t be more excited to see how we compete for it.  I’m all in on GM Chris Ballard and Head Coach Frank Reich.  What they’ve been able to accomplish with this team in such a short period of time is incredible.  I’m not second-guessing shit this off-season.  If they make a move to get Le’Veon Bell…awesome.  If they don’t make a move to get Le’Veon Bell…still awesome.  These guys came here with a vision and it’s working so I’m keeping my stupid mouth shut.  It’s a good time to be a Colts fan. 

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Bruce Arians And Chuck Pagano To The Browns?

I’m a Colts fan but when Peyton Manning went to Denver, I also became a Broncos fan until the day he left.  I loved that dude, so my fandom would follow him wherever he played.  The same principle applies here.  If these two guys pair back up to coach the Browns…I’m all in!

Bruce Arians provided color commentary for CBS in the Chiefs win over the Browns last Sunday.  During a break Arians was asked by the Canton Repository if he would consider being a head coach again.  His response was “Cleveland is the only job I would consider.”  Then he went on to say that if he got that job, Chuck Pagano would be his choice for Defensive Coordinator.  Holy Shit!!!  Is this possible?!

I have to think as soon as GM John Dorsey read this, phone calls were made.  Colts fans loved these guys when they were together here.  I think the only problem was, most of us would’ve preferred Arians as the head coach and Pagano as defensive coordinator.  In 2012, this duo led the Colts, who were 2-14 the year before, to a record of 11-5.  That’s the year Pagano was battling Leukemia and had to turn the reins over to Arians in week 5.  We were 2-2 at that point and under Arians, went 9-3.  Many of us think Chuck Pagano was a bit conservative and that Arians’ “let it eat” attitude better suited an offense led by Andrew Luck.

The Ravens defense was 3rd overall when Pagano was there and after the Colts fired him, it looked like the Ravens were very interested in bringing Pagano back.

Obviously, he didn’t become the defensive coordinator for the Ravens.  I couldn’t find a report that explained why.  Maybe it’s because the Colts’ defense finished 30th in the last two years that Pagano was head coach.  But the Ravens knew that before they reached out to him so I’m going to put my detective hat back on say it’s more likely that he told them he wasn’t interested.  If that’s the case, it’s possible he just wasn’t ready to jump back in the game yet and wanted to take some time off to spend with his family.

But what if he and Bruce Arians, who had just retired as head coach of the Cardinals, met for drinks and discussed what the future would hold for each of them?  Neither of these guys are starving, so if they wanted to return to coaching they could each afford to wait for the right opportunity to come along.  Even a schmuck like me was aware that if Cleveland didn’t turn things around this year, Hue Jackson was getting the boot.  So, let’s assume both these former head coaches were aware of that as well.  

So, when you add that to the fact that Bruce Arians just announced his desire to take over as head coach at Cleveland and to bring Pagano with him…it’s not unreasonable to assume that he had communicated that information to Pagano before he leaked it to the press.  

Now, Hue Jackson is gone and the Browns will have to make a decision for next year.  If they decide to go with an experienced head coach that has a proven track record and a talent for getting the most out of a quarterbacks that are #1 draft picks…I’d say Bruce Arians and Chuck Pagano are in a pretty good spot.

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